Combat Edge Intelligence

James McSweeney vs Regan Upshaw

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Regan Upshaw
us

Regan Upshaw

“The Eternal”

0-1-0Light HeavyweightONE

1478Average

Tale of the tape

15-18-0Record0-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
248 lbsWeight205 lbs
McSweeney Martial ArtsTeamHavoc MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

James McSweeneyNow 1486
If they win+12→ 1498
If they lose-12→ 1474
Regan UpshawNow 1478
If they win+25→ 1503
If they lose-23→ 1455

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.94
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
55%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
42%
Strike defense
TBD
0.52
Takedown avg.
TBD
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.05
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

James McSweeneyRegan Upshaw
15002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (60%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
6 (40%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Regan Upshaw75%
James McSweeney 25%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Regan Upshaw a 75% favorite over James McSweeney in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans James McSweeney's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1486 vs 1478), separated by just 8 points.

James McSweeney enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

James McSweeney finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.