Combat Edge Intelligence

James Romero vs Xavier Vasquez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-2-0Record4-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fit NHB· 1627 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

James RomeroNow 1552
If they win+24→ 1576
If they lose-24→ 1528
Xavier VasquezNow 1557
If they win+24→ 1581
If they lose-24→ 1533

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

James RomeroXavier Vasquez
15001550160020252026

Win method breakdown

2 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
2 (50%)
Submission
1 (25%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

James Romero76%
Xavier Vasquez 24%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes James Romero a 76% favorite over Xavier Vasquez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Xavier Vasquez's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1552 vs 1557), separated by just 5 points.

James Romero finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Xavier Vasquez 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.