James Romero vs Xavier Vasquez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-2-0Record4-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fit NHBTeam
What's at stake
Xavier Vasquez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — James Romero carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1562
If they lose-23→ 1514
If they win+23→ 1579
If they lose-25→ 1531
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1512 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1491 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
James RomeroXavier Vasquez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
James Romero57%
Xavier Vasquez 43%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes James Romero a 57% favorite over Xavier Vasquez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Xavier Vasquez's way (47%).
Xavier Vasquez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1556 to 1537, a 19-point edge.
James Romero finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Xavier Vasquez 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.