Combat Edge Intelligence

James Te Huna vs Maurício Rua

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-9-0Record27-14-1
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
75,0"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Pirtek Athletic AllstarsTeamUniversidade da Luta

What's at stake

Maurício Rua is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — James Te Huna carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

James Te HunaNow 1610
If they win+15→ 1625
If they lose-9→ 1601
Maurício RuaNow 1691
If they win+9→ 1700
If they lose-15→ 1676

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.04
Sig. strikes / min
3.57
51%
Strike accuracy
51%
2.99
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.79
63%
Strike defense
54%
2.75
Takedown avg.
2.01
38%
Takedown accuracy
49%
59%
Takedown defense
49%
0.25
Submission avg.
0.71

Trajectory

James Te HunaMaurício Rua
16001650170017502014201520162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

10 (63%)
KO/TKO
21 (78%)
3 (19%)
Submission
1 (4%)
3 (19%)
Decision
5 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Maurício Rua75%
James Te Huna 25%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Maurício Rua a 75% favorite over James Te Huna in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Maurício Rua holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1691 to 1610, a 81-point edge.

James Te Huna enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Maurício Rua enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

James Te Huna finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Maurício Rua 81%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.