Combat Edge Intelligence

James Te Huna vs Nate Marquardt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-9-0Record36-20-2
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
75,0"Reach42,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Pirtek Athletic AllstarsTeamHigh Altitude Martial Arts

What's at stake

Nate Marquardt is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — James Te Huna carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

James Te HunaNow 1610
If they win+13→ 1623
If they lose-11→ 1599
Nate MarquardtNow 1651
If they win+11→ 1662
If they lose-13→ 1638

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.04
Sig. strikes / min
2.71
51%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.99
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.32
63%
Strike defense
56%
2.75
Takedown avg.
1.87
38%
Takedown accuracy
51%
59%
Takedown defense
71%
0.25
Submission avg.
0.85

Trajectory

James Te HunaNate Marquardt
1600165020142015201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

10 (63%)
KO/TKO
13 (36%)
3 (19%)
Submission
15 (42%)
3 (19%)
Decision
8 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

James Te Huna53%
Nate Marquardt 47%Elo baseline: 44%

The Combat Edge model makes James Te Huna a 53% favorite over Nate Marquardt in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nate Marquardt's way (44%).

Nate Marquardt holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1651 to 1610, a 41-point edge.

James Te Huna enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

James Te Huna finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Nate Marquardt 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.