Combat Edge Intelligence

James Thompson vs Matheus Scheffel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-17-0Record17-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
260 lbsWeight262 lbs
London ShootfightersTeamCM System

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

James ThompsonNow 1521
If they win+12→ 1533
If they lose-12→ 1509
Matheus ScheffelNow 1521
If they win+12→ 1533
If they lose-12→ 1509

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.33
TBD
Strike accuracy
36%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3
TBD
Strike defense
47%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

James ThompsonMatheus Scheffel
155016002016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

13 (65%)
KO/TKO
12 (71%)
5 (25%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (10%)
Decision
5 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Matheus Scheffel66%
James Thompson 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Matheus Scheffel a 66% favorite over James Thompson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans James Thompson's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1521 vs 1521), separated by just 0 points.

James Thompson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Matheus Scheffel enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

James Thompson finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Matheus Scheffel 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.