Combat Edge Intelligence

James Toney vs Randy Couture

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
James Toney
us

James Toney

“Lights Out”

0-1-0HeavyweightUFC

1488Average
Randy Couture
us

Randy Couture

“The Natural”

19-11-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1721Good

Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record19-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'10"Height6'1"
TBDReach75"
237 lbsWeight203 lbs
M-1 Global Training CenterTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Randy Couture is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — James Toney carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

James ToneyNow 1488
If they win+38→ 1526
If they lose-10→ 1478
Randy CoutureNow 1721
If they win+5→ 1726
If they lose-19→ 1702

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1735 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
2.85
TBD
Strike accuracy
58%
2.41
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.53
27%
Strike defense
59%
0
Takedown avg.
2.78
TBD
Takedown accuracy
47%
0%
Takedown defense
58%
0
Submission avg.
0.48

Trajectory

James ToneyRandy Couture
150016001700200920102011

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
7 (37%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (21%)
0 (0%)
Decision
8 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Randy Couture84%
James Toney 16%Elo baseline: 79%

The Combat Edge model makes Randy Couture a 84% favorite over James Toney in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (79%).

Randy Couture holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1721 to 1488, a 233-point edge.

Randy Couture 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.