James Vake vs Jesse Sanders
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-3-0Record23-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'1"
74"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
City KickboxingTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1582
If they lose-24→ 1534
If they win+16→ 1577
If they lose-16→ 1545
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1521 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
James VakeJesse Sanders
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
James Vake60%
Jesse Sanders 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes James Vake a 60% favorite over Jesse Sanders in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jesse Sanders's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1558 vs 1561), separated by just 3 points.
James Vake enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
James Vake finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Jesse Sanders 95%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.