James Vick vs Joe Duffy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
13-6-0Record16-5-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'3"Height5'10"
TBDReach73.00
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Lloyd IrvinTeamThe MMA Clinic
What's at stake
James Vick is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Joe Duffy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1658
If they lose-20→ 1626
If they win+30→ 1593
If they lose-18→ 1545
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
James VickJoe Duffy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
James Vick60%
Joe Duffy 40%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes James Vick a 60% favorite over Joe Duffy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
James Vick holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1646 to 1563, a 83-point edge.
James Vick enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Joe Duffy enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
James Vick finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Joe Duffy 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.