James Vick vs Marco Polo Reyes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-6-0Record16-9-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'3"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Lloyd IrvinTeamEntram Gym
What's at stake
James Vick is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Marco Polo Reyes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1658
If they lose-20→ 1626
If they win+20→ 1587
If they lose-12→ 1555
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
James VickMarco Polo Reyes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
James Vick70%
Marco Polo Reyes 30%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes James Vick a 70% favorite over Marco Polo Reyes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
James Vick holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1646 to 1567, a 79-point edge.
James Vick enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Marco Polo Reyes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
James Vick finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Marco Polo Reyes 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.