James Vick vs Niko Price
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-6-0Record16-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'0"
TBDReach76"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Lloyd IrvinTeamFutures MMA
What's at stake
James Vick is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Niko Price carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1661
If they lose-17→ 1629
If they win+13→ 1636
If they lose-11→ 1612
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1690 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
James VickNiko Price
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Niko Price66%
James Vick 34%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Niko Price a 66% favorite over James Vick in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans James Vick's way (47%).
James Vick holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1646 to 1623, a 23-point edge.
James Vick enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Niko Price enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
James Vick finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Niko Price 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.