James Vick vs Valmir Lazaro
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-6-0Record19-8-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'3"Height6'0"
TBDReach73,0"
170 lbsWeight154 lbs
Team Lloyd IrvinTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
James Vick is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Valmir Lazaro carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1660
If they lose-18→ 1628
If they win+13→ 1626
If they lose-11→ 1602
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
James VickValmir Lazaro
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
James Vick60%
Valmir Lazaro 40%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes James Vick a 60% favorite over Valmir Lazaro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
James Vick holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1646 to 1613, a 33-point edge.
James Vick enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
James Vick finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Valmir Lazaro 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.