Combat Edge Intelligence

Jamey-Lyn Horth vs Lauren Murphy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record16-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'7"
66"Reach67"
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
The Sound Martial ArtsTeamGracie Barra Katy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jamey-Lyn HorthNow 1645
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629
Lauren MurphyNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1589 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.80
Sig. strikes / min
4.05
48%
Strike accuracy
39%
2.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.25
64%
Strike defense
55%
0.98
Takedown avg.
1.03
0%
Takedown accuracy
25%
81%
Takedown defense
70%
0.16
Submission avg.
0.07

Trajectory

Jamey-Lyn HorthLauren Murphy
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
2 (22%)
Submission
1 (6%)
3 (33%)
Decision
7 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Jamey-Lyn Horth70%
Lauren Murphy 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Jamey-Lyn Horth a 70% favorite over Lauren Murphy in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lauren Murphy's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1645 vs 1652), separated by just 7 points.

Lauren Murphy enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jamey-Lyn Horth finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Lauren Murphy 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.