Jamey Simmons vs Nelson Rojas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-4-0Record7-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'5"Height5'7"
70,0"Reach-
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1551
If they lose-16→ 1519
If they win+16→ 1549
If they lose-16→ 1517
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1520 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jamey SimmonsNelson Rojas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nelson Rojas60%
Jamey Simmons 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nelson Rojas a 60% favorite over Jamey Simmons in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jamey Simmons's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1535 vs 1533), separated by just 2 points.
Jamey Simmons enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jamey Simmons finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Nelson Rojas 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.