Combat Edge Intelligence

Jamie Houston vs Rômulo Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-0-0Record7-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
TeamW Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jamie HoustonNow 1548
If they win+24→ 1572
If they lose-24→ 1524
Rômulo OliveiraNow 1549
If they win+24→ 1573
If they lose-24→ 1525

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1483 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.39
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
47%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
54%
Strike defense
TBD
2.31
Takedown avg.
TBD
34%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
79%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.14
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jamie HoustonRômulo Oliveira
1550160020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
2 (67%)
Submission
1 (14%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Rômulo Oliveira53%
Jamie Houston 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rômulo Oliveira a 53% favorite over Jamie Houston in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1548 vs 1549), separated by just 1 points.

Jamie Houston enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jamie Houston finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Rômulo Oliveira 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.