Combat Edge Intelligence

Jamie Mullarkey vs Johnny Case

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Johnny Case
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Johnny Case

“Hollywood”

30-10-1WelterweightRFF

1640Solid

Tale of the tape

18-9-0Record30-10-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'10"
74"Reach72,5"
155 lbsWeight159 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jamie MullarkeyNow 1631
If they win+12→ 1643
If they lose-12→ 1619
Johnny CaseNow 1640
If they win+12→ 1652
If they lose-12→ 1628

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1617 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.20
Sig. strikes / min
3.95
47%
Strike accuracy
39%
4.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.66
55%
Strike defense
61%
2.40
Takedown avg.
1.70
30%
Takedown accuracy
45%
79%
Takedown defense
73%
0.13
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Jamie MullarkeyJohnny Case
1650202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (56%)
KO/TKO
21 (72%)
3 (17%)
Submission
4 (14%)
5 (28%)
Decision
4 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Jamie Mullarkey58%
Johnny Case 42%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Jamie Mullarkey a 58% favorite over Johnny Case in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Johnny Case's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1640), separated by just 9 points.

Jamie Mullarkey finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Johnny Case 86%.

Jamie Mullarkey carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.