Combat Edge Intelligence

Jamie Pickett vs Josh Fremd

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jamie Pickett
us

Jamie Pickett

“The Nightwolf”

13-11-0MiddleweightUFC

1556Solid

Tale of the tape

13-11-0Record13-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'4"
80"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
The HitPit Martial ArtsTeamFactory X

What's at stake

Josh Fremd is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Jamie Pickett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jamie PickettNow 1556
If they win+20→ 1576
If they lose-12→ 1544
Josh FremdNow 1649
If they win+12→ 1661
If they lose-20→ 1629

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1631 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.65
Sig. strikes / min
2.52
48%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.23
50%
Strike defense
47%
1.26
Takedown avg.
0.66
40%
Takedown accuracy
8%
67%
Takedown defense
30%
0.13
Submission avg.
1.09

Trajectory

Jamie PickettJosh Fremd
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (69%)
KO/TKO
6 (46%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (31%)
4 (31%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Josh Fremd79%
Jamie Pickett 21%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Josh Fremd a 79% favorite over Jamie Pickett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Josh Fremd holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1649 to 1556, a 93-point edge.

Jamie Pickett enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Josh Fremd enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jamie Pickett finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Josh Fremd 77%.

Jamie Pickett carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.