Jamie Pickett vs Tafon Nchukwi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-11-0Record7-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
80"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight190 lbs
The HitPit Martial ArtsTeamTeam Lloyd Irvin
What's at stake
Tafon Nchukwi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Jamie Pickett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1574
If they lose-14→ 1542
If they win+14→ 1603
If they lose-18→ 1571
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1631 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1620 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jamie PickettTafon Nchukwi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tafon Nchukwi64%
Jamie Pickett 36%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Tafon Nchukwi a 64% favorite over Jamie Pickett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Tafon Nchukwi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1589 to 1556, a 33-point edge.
Jamie Pickett enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Jamie Pickett finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Tafon Nchukwi 57%.
Jamie Pickett carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.