Jamie Siraj vs Rafael do Nascimento
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-4-0Record13-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'4"
66"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1671
If they lose-16→ 1639
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1514 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jamie SirajRafael do Nascimento
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rafael do Nascimento60%
Jamie Siraj 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Rafael do Nascimento a 60% favorite over Jamie Siraj in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1655 vs 1657), separated by just 2 points.
Rafael do Nascimento enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Jamie Siraj finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Rafael do Nascimento 77%.
Rafael do Nascimento carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.