Combat Edge Intelligence

Jamie Yager vs Rômulo Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jamie Yager
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Jamie Yager

“The Chosyn 1”

9-4-0WelterweightPFC

1549Average

Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record7-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'0"
73"Reach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kings MMA· 1672 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamW Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jamie YagerNow 1549
If they win+16→ 1565
If they lose-16→ 1533
Rômulo OliveiraNow 1549
If they win+24→ 1573
If they lose-24→ 1525

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1520 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.08
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
39%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
63%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
67%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jamie YagerRômulo Oliveira
1500155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
4 (44%)
Submission
1 (14%)
2 (22%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Rômulo Oliveira60%
Jamie Yager 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rômulo Oliveira a 60% favorite over Jamie Yager in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jamie Yager's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1549 vs 1549), separated by just 0 points.

Jamie Yager enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Jamie Yager finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Rômulo Oliveira 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.