Jamie Yager vs Tagir Machmudov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record3-1-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
73"Reach72.4"
170 lbsWeight176 lbs
Kings MMA· 1670 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1565
If they lose-16→ 1533
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1520 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jamie YagerTagir Machmudov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tagir Machmudov66%
Jamie Yager 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tagir Machmudov a 66% favorite over Jamie Yager in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1549 vs 1551), separated by just 2 points.
Jamie Yager enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jamie Yager finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Tagir Machmudov 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.