Jan Błachowicz vs Jimi Manuwa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-11-0Record17-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
78"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
WCA Fight TeamTeamKeddles Gym
What's at stake
Jan Błachowicz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Jimi Manuwa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1757
If they lose-15→ 1733
If they win+20→ 1677
If they lose-12→ 1645
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1765 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1700 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jan BłachowiczJimi Manuwa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jan Błachowicz78%
Jimi Manuwa 22%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Jan Błachowicz a 78% favorite over Jimi Manuwa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Jan Błachowicz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1748 to 1657, a 91-point edge.
Jimi Manuwa enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Jan Błachowicz finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Jimi Manuwa 94%.
Jan Błachowicz and Jimi Manuwa share 2 common opponents: Aleksandar Rakić and Corey Anderson.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.