Jan Błachowicz vs Nikita Krylov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-12-2Record31-12-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
78"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight215 lbs
WCA Fight Team· 1601 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamRaty Team· 1671 avg Elo · 14 rated
What's at stake
Jan Błachowicz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Nikita Krylov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1744
If they lose-13→ 1720
If they win+13→ 1703
If they lose-11→ 1679
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1761 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1710 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jan BłachowiczNikita Krylov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jan Błachowicz58%
Nikita Krylov 42%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Jan Błachowicz a 58% favorite over Nikita Krylov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Jan Błachowicz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1733 to 1690, a 43-point edge.
Jan Błachowicz finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Nikita Krylov 94%.
Jan Błachowicz and Nikita Krylov share 3 common opponents: Bogdan Guskov, Magomed Ankalaev and Dominick Reyes.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.