Jan Błachowicz vs Phil Davis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-11-0Record24-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
78"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
WCA Fight TeamTeamAlliance MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1760
If they lose-12→ 1736
If they win+12→ 1751
If they lose-12→ 1727
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1765 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1665 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jan BłachowiczPhil Davis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Phil Davis55%
Jan Błachowicz 45%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Phil Davis a 55% favorite over Jan Błachowicz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jan Błachowicz's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1748 vs 1739), separated by just 9 points.
Jan Błachowicz finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Phil Davis 46%.
Jan Błachowicz and Phil Davis share 1 common opponent: Corey Anderson.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.