Jan Błachowicz vs Navajo Stirling
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-12-2Record11-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
78"Reach79"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
WCA Fight Team· 1591 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamCity Kickboxing
What's at stake
Navajo Stirling is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Jan Błachowicz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1746
If they lose-11→ 1722
If they win+15→ 1769
If they lose-17→ 1737
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1759 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jan BłachowiczNavajo Stirling
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Navajo Stirling57%
Jan Błachowicz 43%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Navajo Stirling a 57% favorite over Jan Błachowicz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Navajo Stirling holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1754 to 1733, a 21-point edge.
Navajo Stirling enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Jan Błachowicz finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Navajo Stirling 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.