Jan Błachowicz vs Nikita Krylov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-11-0Record31-12-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
78"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight215 lbs
WCA Fight TeamTeamRaty Team
What's at stake
Jan Błachowicz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Nikita Krylov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1758
If they lose-14→ 1734
If they win+14→ 1705
If they lose-10→ 1681
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1765 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1709 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jan BłachowiczNikita Krylov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nikita Krylov61%
Jan Błachowicz 39%Elo baseline: 42%
The Combat Edge model makes Nikita Krylov a 61% favorite over Jan Błachowicz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jan Błachowicz's way (42%).
Jan Błachowicz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1748 to 1691, a 57-point edge.
Jan Błachowicz finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Nikita Krylov 94%.
Jan Błachowicz and Nikita Krylov share 3 common opponents: Bogdan Guskov, Magomed Ankalaev and Dominick Reyes.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.