Combat Edge Intelligence

Jan Błachowicz vs Zak Cummings

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-11-0Record25-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
78"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
WCA Fight TeamTeamFactory X

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jan BłachowiczNow 1748
If they win+12→ 1760
If they lose-12→ 1736
Zak CummingsNow 1739
If they win+12→ 1751
If they lose-12→ 1727

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1765 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.55
Sig. strikes / min
2.96
50%
Strike accuracy
36%
3.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.91
52%
Strike defense
55%
0.98
Takedown avg.
0.62
31%
Takedown accuracy
28%
69%
Takedown defense
67%
0.36
Submission avg.
0.62

Trajectory

Jan BłachowiczZak Cummings
175020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (31%)
KO/TKO
6 (24%)
9 (31%)
Submission
12 (48%)
11 (38%)
Decision
7 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Zak Cummings53%
Jan Błachowicz 47%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Zak Cummings a 53% favorite over Jan Błachowicz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jan Błachowicz's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1748 vs 1739), separated by just 9 points.

Zak Cummings enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jan Błachowicz finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Zak Cummings 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.