Combat Edge Intelligence

Jared Gooden vs Matthieu Duclos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jared Gooden
us

Jared Gooden

“Nite Train”

23-12-0WelterweightPFL

1631Solid

Tale of the tape

23-12-0Record10-3-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'3"
77"Reach77"
171 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jared GoodenNow 1631
If they win+12→ 1643
If they lose-12→ 1619
Matthieu DuclosNow 1634
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1603 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.40
Sig. strikes / min
3.93
49%
Strike accuracy
37%
6.74
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.81
45%
Strike defense
46%
0.91
Takedown avg.
0
45%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
65%
Takedown defense
100%
0.36
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jared GoodenMatthieu Duclos
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (48%)
KO/TKO
8 (80%)
7 (30%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (22%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jared Gooden and Matthieu Duclos within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1634), separated by just 3 points.

Jared Gooden enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Matthieu Duclos enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Jared Gooden finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Matthieu Duclos 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.