Jared Gooden vs Niklas Stolze
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-12-0Record14-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'4"Height6'0"
77"Reach74"
171 lbsWeight171 lbs
X3 SportsTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
Jared Gooden is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Niklas Stolze carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1637
If they lose-15→ 1613
If they win+21→ 1547
If they lose-11→ 1515
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jared GoodenNiklas Stolze
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jared Gooden61%
Niklas Stolze 39%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Jared Gooden a 61% favorite over Niklas Stolze in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Jared Gooden holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1628 to 1526, a 102-point edge.
Jared Gooden enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Niklas Stolze enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jared Gooden finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Niklas Stolze 79%.
Jared Gooden carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.