Jared Gooden vs Randy Brown
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-12-0Record20-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'4"Height6'3"
77"Reach78"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
Randy Brown is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Jared Gooden carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-8→ 1623
If they win+8→ 1750
If they lose-16→ 1726
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1603 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1727 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jared GoodenRandy Brown
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Randy Brown71%
Jared Gooden 29%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Randy Brown a 71% favorite over Jared Gooden in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Randy Brown holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1742 to 1631, a 111-point edge.
Jared Gooden enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Randy Brown enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jared Gooden finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Randy Brown 65%.
Jared Gooden and Randy Brown share 1 common opponent: Wellington Turman.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.