Jared Gooden vs Vlasto Čepo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-12-0Record14-4-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'1"
77"Reach73"
171 lbsWeight186 lbs
X3 SportsTeamAmerican Top Team Zagreb· 1617 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1643
If they lose-12→ 1619
If they win+16→ 1648
If they lose-16→ 1616
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jared GoodenVlasto Čepo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jared Gooden69%
Vlasto Čepo 31%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jared Gooden a 69% favorite over Vlasto Čepo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Vlasto Čepo's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1632), separated by just 1 points.
Jared Gooden enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jared Gooden finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Vlasto Čepo 100%.
Jared Gooden carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.