Jared Gooden vs Wellington Turman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-12-0Record18-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'4"Height6'0"
77"Reach 72"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
X3 SportsTeamTeixeira MMA & Fitness· 1650 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
Jared Gooden is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Wellington Turman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1642
If they lose-13→ 1618
If they win+13→ 1629
If they lose-11→ 1605
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1604 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jared GoodenWellington Turman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Wellington Turman54%
Jared Gooden 46%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Wellington Turman a 54% favorite over Jared Gooden in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jared Gooden's way (48%).
Jared Gooden holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1631 to 1616, a 15-point edge.
Jared Gooden enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Wellington Turman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jared Gooden finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Wellington Turman 67%.
Jared Gooden carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.