Combat Edge Intelligence

Jared Gordon vs Michel Quinones

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-9-0Record8-3-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'10"
68"Reach40,0"
156 lbsWeight145 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamAmerican Top Team Wolfpack

What's at stake

Jared Gordon is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Michel Quinones carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jared GordonNow 1678
If they win+9→ 1687
If they lose-15→ 1663
Michel QuinonesNow 1602
If they win+19→ 1621
If they lose-13→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.64
Sig. strikes / min
2.91
54%
Strike accuracy
30%
4.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.98
56%
Strike defense
48%
1.78
Takedown avg.
0
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
60%
Takedown defense
36%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jared GordonMichel Quinones
1600165017002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (38%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
2 (10%)
Submission
1 (13%)
11 (52%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Jared Gordon72%
Michel Quinones 28%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Jared Gordon a 72% favorite over Michel Quinones in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Jared Gordon holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1678 to 1602, a 76-point edge.

Jared Gordon enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Michel Quinones enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jared Gordon finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Michel Quinones 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.