Jared Gordon vs Mike Davis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
21-9-0Record12-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'0"
68"Reach72"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamFusion X-Cel
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1690
If they lose-12→ 1666
If they win+16→ 1693
If they lose-16→ 1661
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jared GordonMike Davis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Davis59%
Jared Gordon 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Davis a 59% favorite over Jared Gordon in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jared Gordon's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1678 vs 1677), separated by just 1 points.
Jared Gordon enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jared Gordon finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Mike Davis 83%.
Mike Davis carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.