Combat Edge Intelligence

Jared Gordon vs Paddy Pimblett

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

21-9-0Record24-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
68"Reach 73"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamNext Generation UK

What's at stake

Paddy Pimblett is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Jared Gordon carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jared GordonNow 1678
If they win+16→ 1694
If they lose-8→ 1670
Paddy PimblettNow 1795
If they win+8→ 1803
If they lose-16→ 1779

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1690 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.64
Sig. strikes / min
5.49
54%
Strike accuracy
53%
4.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.89
56%
Strike defense
43%
1.78
Takedown avg.
0.69
33%
Takedown accuracy
21%
60%
Takedown defense
44%
0
Submission avg.
1.20

Trajectory

Jared GordonPaddy Pimblett
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (38%)
KO/TKO
7 (29%)
2 (10%)
Submission
11 (46%)
11 (52%)
Decision
6 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Paddy Pimblett92%
Jared Gordon 8%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Paddy Pimblett a 92% favorite over Jared Gordon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Paddy Pimblett holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1795 to 1678, a 117-point edge.

Jared Gordon enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jared Gordon finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Paddy Pimblett 75%.

Paddy Pimblett carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.