Jared Papazian vs Zarrukh Adashev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-14-0Record4-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'7"
TBDReach65"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1561
If they lose-12→ 1537
If they win+24→ 1573
If they lose-24→ 1525
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jared PapazianZarrukh Adashev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Zarrukh Adashev56%
Jared Papazian 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Zarrukh Adashev a 56% favorite over Jared Papazian in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jared Papazian's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1549 vs 1549), separated by just 0 points.
Jared Papazian enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jared Papazian finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Zarrukh Adashev 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.