Jared Rollins vs Jon Koppenhaver
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record14-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Oyama· 1646 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamUnd1sputed
What's at stake
Jared Rollins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Jon Koppenhaver carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1569
If they lose-18→ 1537
If they win+27→ 1534
If they lose-21→ 1486
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jared RollinsJon Koppenhaver
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jon Koppenhaver58%
Jared Rollins 42%Elo baseline: 43%
The Combat Edge model makes Jon Koppenhaver a 58% favorite over Jared Rollins in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jared Rollins's way (43%).
Jared Rollins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1555 to 1507, a 48-point edge.
Jared Rollins finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jon Koppenhaver 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.