Combat Edge Intelligence

Jared Rollins vs Mohamed Ado

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-4-0Record6-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'11"
TBDReach76.5"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Oyama· 1645 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeam613 Fight Factory

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jared RollinsNow 1552
If they win+16→ 1568
If they lose-16→ 1536
Mohamed AdoNow 1554
If they win+24→ 1578
If they lose-24→ 1530

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.33
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
57%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.41
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
40%
Strike defense
TBD
2.50
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.25
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jared RollinsMohamed Ado
15501600200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (57%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
3 (43%)
Submission
4 (67%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Mohamed Ado66%
Jared Rollins 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mohamed Ado a 66% favorite over Jared Rollins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1552 vs 1554), separated by just 2 points.

Jared Rollins finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Mohamed Ado 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.