Combat Edge Intelligence

Jared Rollins vs Said-Khusein Akhyadov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-4-0Record9-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'8"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight160 lbs
Team OyamaTeamStallion Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jared RollinsNow 1552
If they win+16→ 1568
If they lose-16→ 1536
Said-Khusein AkhyadovNow 1548
If they win+16→ 1564
If they lose-16→ 1532

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.33
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
57%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.41
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
40%
Strike defense
TBD
2.50
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.25
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jared RollinsSaid-Khusein Akhyadov
150015501600200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (57%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
3 (43%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Said-Khusein Akhyadov70%
Jared Rollins 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Said-Khusein Akhyadov a 70% favorite over Jared Rollins in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jared Rollins's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1552 vs 1548), separated by just 4 points.

Said-Khusein Akhyadov enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Jared Rollins finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Said-Khusein Akhyadov 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.