Combat Edge Intelligence

Jared Rosholt vs Stefan Struve

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-8-0Record29-13-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height7'0"
41,0"Reach84,5"
240 lbsWeight265 lbs
Team TakedownTeamTeam Schrijber

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jared RosholtNow 1663
If they win+12→ 1675
If they lose-12→ 1651
Stefan StruveNow 1664
If they win+12→ 1676
If they lose-12→ 1652

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1696 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.08
Sig. strikes / min
3.12
46%
Strike accuracy
47%
1.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.04
60%
Strike defense
47%
1.83
Takedown avg.
0.56
42%
Takedown accuracy
47%
67%
Takedown defense
56%
0.14
Submission avg.
1.68

Trajectory

Jared RosholtStefan Struve
165017002017201820192020

Win method breakdown

7 (35%)
KO/TKO
8 (29%)
1 (5%)
Submission
18 (64%)
12 (60%)
Decision
2 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Jared Rosholt54%
Stefan Struve 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jared Rosholt a 54% favorite over Stefan Struve in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Stefan Struve's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1663 vs 1664), separated by just 1 points.

Stefan Struve enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jared Rosholt finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Stefan Struve 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.