Jared Vanderaa vs Keigo Kunihara
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-13-0Record3-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
80"ReachTBD
259 lbsWeight228 lbs
Team QuestTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1587
If they lose-12→ 1563
If they win+24→ 1597
If they lose-24→ 1549
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1483 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jared VanderaaKeigo Kunihara
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jared Vanderaa61%
Keigo Kunihara 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jared Vanderaa a 61% favorite over Keigo Kunihara in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1575 vs 1573), separated by just 2 points.
Jared Vanderaa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Keigo Kunihara enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Jared Vanderaa finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Keigo Kunihara 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.