Jared Vanderaa vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-11-0Record17-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
80"Reach78"
259 lbsWeight262 lbs
Team QuestTeamUltimate Kombat Fitness
What's at stake
Waldo Cortes-Acosta is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Jared Vanderaa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1603
If they lose-6→ 1579
If they win+8→ 1787
If they lose-24→ 1755
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1714 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jared VanderaaWaldo Cortes-Acosta
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Waldo Cortes-Acosta92%
Jared Vanderaa 8%Elo baseline: 75%
The Combat Edge model makes Waldo Cortes-Acosta a 92% favorite over Jared Vanderaa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).
Waldo Cortes-Acosta holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1779 to 1585, a 194-point edge.
Jared Vanderaa enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Jared Vanderaa finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Waldo Cortes-Acosta 59%.
Jared Vanderaa and Waldo Cortes-Acosta share 1 common opponent: Andrei Arlovski.
Jared Vanderaa carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.