Jared Vanderaa vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-13-0Record17-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
80"Reach78"
259 lbsWeight262 lbs
What's at stake
Waldo Cortes-Acosta is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Jared Vanderaa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1593
If they lose-6→ 1569
If they win+8→ 1770
If they lose-24→ 1738
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1735 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jared VanderaaWaldo Cortes-Acosta
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Waldo Cortes-Acosta85%
Jared Vanderaa 15%Elo baseline: 75%
The Combat Edge model makes Waldo Cortes-Acosta a 85% favorite over Jared Vanderaa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).
Waldo Cortes-Acosta holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1762 to 1575, a 187-point edge.
Jared Vanderaa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Waldo Cortes-Acosta enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jared Vanderaa finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Waldo Cortes-Acosta 59%.
Jared Vanderaa carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.