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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jarno Errens vs Ryo Takagi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-6-1Record11-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'10"
73"Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jarno ErrensNow 1599
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
Ryo TakagiNow 1599
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.29
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
44%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
62%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
33%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.31
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Jarno ErrensRyo Takagi
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
8 (73%)
5 (33%)
Submission
1 (9%)
7 (47%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryo Takagi56%
Jarno Errens 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryo Takagi a 56% favorite over Jarno Errens in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jarno Errens's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1599), separated by just 0 points.

Jarno Errens finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Ryo Takagi 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.