Combat Edge Intelligence

Jarno Errens vs Westin Wilson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-6-1Record17-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height6'1"
73"Reach73"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jarno ErrensNow 1596
If they win+16→ 1612
If they lose-16→ 1580
Westin WilsonNow 1596
If they win+12→ 1608
If they lose-12→ 1584

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.29
Sig. strikes / min
1.68
44%
Strike accuracy
33%
3.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.72
62%
Strike defense
31%
0
Takedown avg.
1.68
0%
Takedown accuracy
17%
33%
Takedown defense
33%
0.31
Submission avg.
8.41

Trajectory

Jarno ErrensWestin Wilson
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
5 (29%)
5 (33%)
Submission
12 (71%)
7 (47%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Jarno Errens60%
Westin Wilson 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jarno Errens a 60% favorite over Westin Wilson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1596 vs 1596), separated by just 0 points.

Jarno Errens finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Westin Wilson 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.