Combat Edge Intelligence

Jarred Brooks vs Jussier Formiga

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-3-0Record24-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'5"
36,0"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Mash Fight TeamTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jarred BrooksNow 1723
If they win+16→ 1739
If they lose-16→ 1707
Jussier FormigaNow 1726
If they win+12→ 1738
If they lose-12→ 1714

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.12
Sig. strikes / min
1.42
46%
Strike accuracy
40%
1.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.34
63%
Strike defense
64%
4.54
Takedown avg.
1.82
57%
Takedown accuracy
35%
69%
Takedown defense
87%
0.57
Submission avg.
0.58

Trajectory

Jarred BrooksJussier Formiga
1700175020202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (10%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
8 (40%)
Submission
11 (46%)
10 (50%)
Decision
13 (54%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jarred Brooks and Jussier Formiga within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1723 vs 1726), separated by just 3 points.

Jarred Brooks enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jarred Brooks finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Jussier Formiga 46%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.