Combat Edge Intelligence

Jarrod Kwitty vs Marcio Cabral

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-2-0Record13-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Gracie Academy TorranceTeamBonfim Brothers· 1595 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jarrod KwittyNow 1502
If they win+24→ 1526
If they lose-24→ 1478
Marcio CabralNow 1499
If they win+24→ 1523
If they lose-24→ 1475

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jarrod KwittyMarcio Cabral
1450150020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
9 (69%)
1 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcio Cabral60%
Jarrod Kwitty 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcio Cabral a 60% favorite over Jarrod Kwitty in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jarrod Kwitty's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1502 vs 1499), separated by just 3 points.

Jarrod Kwitty enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Marcio Cabral 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.