Jason Asher vs Jesse Stirn
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-0-0Record16-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'1"Height5'9"
-Reach69"
146 lbsWeight146 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1650
If they lose-24→ 1602
If they win+16→ 1642
If they lose-16→ 1610
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jason AsherJesse Stirn
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jason Asher58%
Jesse Stirn 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jason Asher a 58% favorite over Jesse Stirn in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1626 vs 1626), separated by just 0 points.
Jason Asher enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Jesse Stirn enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Jason Asher finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jesse Stirn 44%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.