Combat Edge Intelligence

Jason Blackford vs Nurbek Abdykadyrov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

3-3-0Record7-4-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight147 lbs
TeamJash-Kuch

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jason BlackfordNow 1553
If they win+16→ 1569
If they lose-16→ 1537
Nurbek AbdykadyrovNow 1556
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1531 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jason BlackfordNurbek Abdykadyrov
15501600201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
3 (100%)
Submission
1 (14%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Nurbek Abdykadyrov60%
Jason Blackford 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nurbek Abdykadyrov a 60% favorite over Jason Blackford in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1553 vs 1556), separated by just 3 points.

Jason Blackford enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jason Blackford finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Nurbek Abdykadyrov 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.