Jason Brilz vs Muhammad Saidov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
23-6-1Record10-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'2"
TBDReach73"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Elite PerformanceTeamGOR MMA· 1738 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1726
If they lose-12→ 1702
If they win+16→ 1728
If they lose-16→ 1696
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1600 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jason BrilzMuhammad Saidov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Muhammad Saidov70%
Jason Brilz 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Muhammad Saidov a 70% favorite over Jason Brilz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jason Brilz's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1714 vs 1712), separated by just 2 points.
Muhammad Saidov enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Jason Brilz finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Muhammad Saidov 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.