Combat Edge Intelligence

Jason Brilz vs Vladimir Matyushenko

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jason Brilz
us

Jason Brilz

“The Hitman”

23-6-1Light HeavyweightDCS

1714Good

Tale of the tape

23-6-1Record27-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Elite PerformanceTeamVMAT

What's at stake

Jason Brilz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Vladimir Matyushenko carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jason BrilzNow 1714
If they win+11→ 1725
If they lose-13→ 1701
Vladimir MatyushenkoNow 1684
If they win+13→ 1697
If they lose-11→ 1673

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1600 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.66
Sig. strikes / min
1.95
40%
Strike accuracy
46%
1.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.98
65%
Strike defense
60%
2.37
Takedown avg.
2.89
25%
Takedown accuracy
40%
25%
Takedown defense
71%
1.29
Submission avg.
0.15

Trajectory

Jason BrilzVladimir Matyushenko
170017502012201320142015

Win method breakdown

8 (35%)
KO/TKO
12 (44%)
8 (35%)
Submission
4 (15%)
7 (30%)
Decision
11 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Jason Brilz68%
Vladimir Matyushenko 32%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Jason Brilz a 68% favorite over Vladimir Matyushenko in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Jason Brilz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1714 to 1684, a 30-point edge.

Jason Brilz finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Vladimir Matyushenko 59%.

Jason Brilz and Vladimir Matyushenko share 1 common opponent: Ryan Bader.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO/TKO · 2011
Ryan Bader
LossSubmission · 2013