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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jason Day vs Jivko Stoimenov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jason Day
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Jason Day

“Dooms”

19-12-0MiddleweightCanadian Martial Arts Centre

1572Solid

Tale of the tape

19-12-0Record14-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jason DayNow 1572
If they win+12→ 1584
If they lose-12→ 1560
Jivko StoimenovNow 1573
If they win+16→ 1589
If they lose-16→ 1557

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.57
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
53%
Strike accuracy
Not available
5
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
48%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
0%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Jason DayJivko Stoimenov
155016002010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (42%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
9 (47%)
Submission
6 (43%)
2 (11%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Jivko Stoimenov57%
Jason Day 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jivko Stoimenov a 57% favorite over Jason Day in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1572 vs 1573), separated by just 1 points.

Jason Day enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jason Day finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Jivko Stoimenov 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.